Climate Change and Climate Control

UN Framework Convention on Climate Change

COP21 met last week (Nov. 30 – Dec. 4, 2015) in Paris and have concluded with the adoption of a draft “outcome” that can be read here. A summary of the open issues can be found here. Highlights include:

  • Will this result in a binding treaty or a nonbinding agreement? President Obama can try and slip past the Senate without a vote?
  • Calls for nations to accept “differentiated responsibilities”:
    • Redistribution of wealth from developed nations to developing nations
    • Developed nations reducing their emissions while others continue to increase them
    • Will “differentiated responsibilities” mean that developed nations bear all the pain?
  • Far stricter target temperature increase limit to 1.5 degrees C from 2.0 above pre-industrial levels recommended. It makes a huge difference to how much economic pain lies in store.  It will have little or no impact on real-world temperature.
  • A potential goal of “achieving zero global GHG (green house gas) emission by 2060-2080. Will countries actually agree to a goal of zero emissions?  If so, brace yourself.
  • Adopt loss and damage and “risk transfer” schemes: Financial liability for extreme weather losses by poorer nations for which they bear no actual responsibility. Will President Obama agree to compensate developing nations for their “loss and damage” when they experience extreme weather events?
  • Will the UN create an “International Tribunal of Climate Justice” that will sit in judgment on developed countries but give developing countries a pass?
  • A $100B annual commitment to the UN “Green Climate Fund” by 2020, with plans to increase from there. Developed nations pay out; developing nations get a pass. Will developed nations commit to redistributing $100 billion per year through the UN “Green Climate Fund” and increase it from there?

The intent is to resolve as many differences as possible during their second week of meetings. The result – an expanded UN bureaucracy with a flawed agreement? They (the UN) want a climate treaty now and they want the U.S. locked into it.


Climate Change Science Documents

Bad science should not be used to drive public policy on climate change. There seems to be an agenda afoot other than the control of the climate. Climate scientists have noted the following facts:


The UN IPCC charter limited the UN Committee to “understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change.” See paragraph #2 in the UN IPCC Principles document published by the UN IPCC.


The climate has been changing for at least the last 4500 years with peaks and valleys much greater than today. See Figure #2.

gtemps

Fig. 2: 4500 Years of Global Temperature Changes

 


We are coming out of a little ice age and can expect some warming.

LittleIceAge


There has been an 18 year, 9 month pause in warming.

No-global-warming-18-years-9-months-628x324


Predicted temperature  vs. observed

monckton2

 



monckton3


Hockey Stick Chart in early UN IPCC reports

HockeyStickChart


Global Cooling in the 1940’s to 1970’s period

global-cool


Average temperature vs. UN IPCC Climate Change models

UNIPCCModels

 

 

 

 

 


Satellite Observations vs. 33 UN Climate Models

The impact of Urban Heat Islands (UHI) on global temperature measurements has biased average global temperature significantly over the last 20 years:

  • http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2013/02/urban-heat-islands-and-u-s-temperature-trends/
  • http://judithcurry.com/2014/07/07/understanding-adjustments-to-temperature-data/
  • http://www.c3headlines.com/global-warming-urban-heat-island-bias/
  • http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2007/11/01/meteorologist-documents-warming-bias-us-temperature-stations
  • http://www.surfacestations.org/

Figure1_USHCN_Pie

 

 

 

SatelliteObs

 

 

 

 

 

 


90 CMIPS climate Models vs. Observations

CMIP5-90-models-global-Tsfc-vs-obs-thru-2013


CO2 comprises only 0.04% of the greenhouse gases (GHG) in the earth’s atmosphere. Other GHGs include water vapor (95%), methane, nitrous oxide, and other miscellaneous.

GHgases

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

GHgases-H2O

 

 

 

 

 

 

total-percentage-of-greenhouse-gases


CO2 is essential to all life; it is not a pollutant. CO2 adds warmth and growth to plant food.


 


Increased CO2 lags warmer average temperatures by about 800 years.

last-ice-age-no-co2-feedback-andel


CO2 emissions are above UN IPCC prediction

moncktonT3

 


Methane concentration has not risen as predicted

moncktonT4

 


The ocean is barely warming

moncktonT5

 


Solar cycles have been shown to increase climate changes more than the burning of fossil fuels.

SunSpotObservations

 



Solar_cycle

 

 

 

TempSolar


SunSpotObservations


Atlantic Storms

AtlanticStormsSolar_cycleSunSpotObservations

 


U.S. tornadoes from 1953 to 2014

US-Tornadoes

Tornadoes-in US

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


The number of hurricanes in the last few decades has not increased over the last few hundreds of years.

HurricaneSeasons

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


No change in global drought percentage since 1901, July 18, 2015

NoChangeInDrought

 


 

 


Climate Change Agenda Documents & Articles


More Supporting Climate Documents & Articles

 


Documents & Articles in Support of UN IPCC

Record Levels of CO2 Herald The Future of Climate Change, Scientific American, Nov. 10, 2015

 


Wanted – Climate Criminals of COPS21

ClimateCriminals

 

 

 

 


Premiere showing of Climate Hustle goes on, Monday, Dec. 7th in Paris.

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